So, I was looking at the Memorial scores... and I saw that my Rich "Beem me up some bogeys" shot 83. 83!!! That is just embarrasing. Then I thinking "how the hell did this guy win a major?" and "what the fuck was I smoking when I made my picks" and then "I am kind of hungry..." but I digress.
I looked at the last 20 winners of the PGA Championship. Basically, if this is your only major, you have a shitty career after winning it. Look for yourself.
2005 — Phil Mickelson, Baltsurol, Springfield, New Jersey
2004 — Vijay Singh, Whistling Straits, Kohler, Wisconsin
2003 — Shaun Micheel, Oak Hill, Rochester, New York
2002 — Rich Beem, Hazeltine, Chaska, Minnesota
2001 — David Toms, Atlanta Athletic Club, Duluth, Georgia
2000 — Tiger Woods, Valhalla, Louisville, Kentucky
1999 — Tiger Woods, Medinah, Medinah, Illinois
1998 — Vijay Singh, Sahalee, Redmond, Washington
1997 — Davis Love III, Winged Foot, Mamaroneck, New York
1996 — Mark Brooks, Valhalla, Louisville, Kentucky
1995 — Steve Elkington, Riviera, Los Angeles, California
1994 — Nick Price, Southern Hills, Tulsa, Oklahoma
1993 — Paul Azinger, Inverness, Toledo, Ohio
1992 — Nick Price, Bellerive, St. Louis
1991 — John Daly, Crooked Stick, Carmel, Indiana
1990 — Wayne Grady, Shoal Creek, Birmingham, Alabama
1989 — Payne Stewart, Kemper Lakes, Hawthorn Woods, Illinois
1988 — Jeff Sluman, Oak Tree, Edmond, Oklahoma
1987 — Larry Nelson, PGA National, Palm Beach Gardens, Florida
1986 — Bob Tway, Inverness, Toledo, Ohio
You basically have a list of guys with impressive careers and winners of multiple majors (like Tiger, Phil, Vijay... hell, even Larry Nelson), and just flat out "after I won this I was a scrub"... Tway never did anything else. Sluman never did anything else. Wayne Grady was a top 3 player in the world in 1990, but never did anything after winning this. Azinger, Elkington, Brooks... it is amazing. DL3 is hard to categorize, but he never won a big tourney after winning his PGA either.
I guess the lesson is this... when making an FPGP pick, don't add much weight to the "former winner of a major, PGA Championship" because it means diddly squat.